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The sparta fault, southern Greece: From segmentation and tectonic geomorphology to seismic hazard mapping and time dependent probabilities

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dc.contributor.author Papanikolaou, ID en
dc.contributor.author Roberts, GP en
dc.contributor.author Deligiannakis, G en
dc.contributor.author Sakellariou, A en
dc.contributor.author Vassilakis, E en
dc.date.accessioned 2014-06-06T06:52:53Z
dc.date.available 2014-06-06T06:52:53Z
dc.date.issued 2013 en
dc.identifier.issn 00401951 en
dc.identifier.uri http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.tecto.2012.08.031 en
dc.identifier.uri http://62.217.125.90/xmlui/handle/123456789/6237
dc.subject Active faults en
dc.subject Conditional probabilities en
dc.subject Evrotas en
dc.subject Lakonia en
dc.subject Slip-rates en
dc.subject Taygetos en
dc.subject.other Active fault en
dc.subject.other Conditional probabilities en
dc.subject.other Evrotas en
dc.subject.other Lakonia en
dc.subject.other Slip-rates en
dc.subject.other Taygetos en
dc.subject.other Building codes en
dc.subject.other Catchments en
dc.subject.other Earthquakes en
dc.subject.other Probability en
dc.subject.other Runoff en
dc.subject.other Seismic design en
dc.subject.other Faulting en
dc.subject.other active fault en
dc.subject.other earthquake magnitude en
dc.subject.other earthquake mechanism en
dc.subject.other earthquake recurrence en
dc.subject.other probability en
dc.subject.other segmentation en
dc.subject.other seismic hazard en
dc.subject.other seismicity en
dc.subject.other slip rate en
dc.subject.other uplift en
dc.subject.other Evrotas River en
dc.subject.other Greece en
dc.subject.other Illinois en
dc.subject.other Laconia en
dc.subject.other Peloponnisos en
dc.subject.other Sparta en
dc.subject.other United States en
dc.title The sparta fault, southern Greece: From segmentation and tectonic geomorphology to seismic hazard mapping and time dependent probabilities en
heal.type journalArticle en
heal.identifier.primary 10.1016/j.tecto.2012.08.031 en
heal.publicationDate 2013 en
heal.abstract The Sparta Fault system is a major structure approximately 64 km long that bounds the eastern flank of the Taygetos Mountain front (2407 m) and shapes the present-day Sparta basin. It was activated in 464 B.C., devastating the city of Sparta. This fault is examined and described in terms of its geometry, segmentation, drainage pattern and post-glacial throw, emphasising how these parameters vary along strike. Qualitative analysis of long profile catchments shows a significant difference in longitudinal convexity between the central and both the south and north parts of the fault system, leading to the conclusion of varying uplift rate along strike. Catchments are sensitive in differential uplift as it is observed by the calculated differences of the steepness index ksn between the outer (ksn<83) and central parts (121<ksn<138) of the Sparta Fault along strike the fault system. Based on fault throw-rates and the bedrock geology a seismic hazard map has been constructed that extracts a locality specific long-term earthquake recurrence record. Based on this map the town of Sparta would experience a destructive event similar to that in 464 B.C. approximately every 1792±458 years. Since no other major earthquake M̃7.0 has been generated by this system since 464 B.C., a future event could be imminent. As a result, not only time-independent but also time-dependent probabilities, which incorporate the concept of the seismic cycle, have been calculated for the town of Sparta, showing a considerably higher time-dependent probability of 3.0±1.5% over the next 30 years compared to the time-independent probability of 1.66%. Half of the hanging wall area of the Sparta Fault can experience intensities ≥IX, but belongs to the lowest category of seismic risk of the national seismic building code. On view of these relatively high calculated probabilities, a reassessment of the building code might be necessary. © 2012 Elsevier B.V. en
heal.journalName Tectonophysics en
dc.identifier.volume 597-598 en
dc.identifier.doi 10.1016/j.tecto.2012.08.031 en
dc.identifier.spage 85 en
dc.identifier.epage 105 en


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