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Development and validation of a tertiary simulation model for predicting the growth of the food microorganisms under dynamic and static temperature conditions

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dc.contributor.author Psomas, AN en
dc.contributor.author Nychas, G-J en
dc.contributor.author Haroutounian, SA en
dc.contributor.author Skandamis, PN en
dc.date.accessioned 2014-06-06T06:51:16Z
dc.date.available 2014-06-06T06:51:16Z
dc.date.issued 2011 en
dc.identifier.issn 01681699 en
dc.identifier.uri http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.compag.2011.01.013 en
dc.identifier.uri http://62.217.125.90/xmlui/handle/123456789/5415
dc.subject Dynamic temperature conditions en
dc.subject Food safety en
dc.subject Microbial growth prediction en
dc.subject Predictive microbiology en
dc.subject Safety tertiary model en
dc.subject.other Decision support tools en
dc.subject.other Effect of temperature en
dc.subject.other Expert users en
dc.subject.other Food industries en
dc.subject.other Food microorganisms en
dc.subject.other Microbial growth en
dc.subject.other Microbial safety en
dc.subject.other Microbial spoilage en
dc.subject.other Prediction model en
dc.subject.other Predictive micro-biology en
dc.subject.other Predictive modeling en
dc.subject.other Safety tertiary model en
dc.subject.other Shelf life en
dc.subject.other Simulation model en
dc.subject.other Static temperature en
dc.subject.other Temperature conditions en
dc.subject.other Temperature models en
dc.subject.other Accident prevention en
dc.subject.other Computer simulation en
dc.subject.other Decision support systems en
dc.subject.other Food safety en
dc.subject.other Food storage en
dc.subject.other Forecasting en
dc.subject.other Mathematical models en
dc.subject.other Microorganisms en
dc.subject.other Spoilage en
dc.subject.other decision support system en
dc.subject.other empirical analysis en
dc.subject.other food safety en
dc.subject.other growth rate en
dc.subject.other microorganism en
dc.subject.other numerical model en
dc.subject.other observational method en
dc.subject.other software en
dc.subject.other temperature effect en
dc.subject.other uncertainty analysis en
dc.title Development and validation of a tertiary simulation model for predicting the growth of the food microorganisms under dynamic and static temperature conditions en
heal.type journalArticle en
heal.identifier.primary 10.1016/j.compag.2011.01.013 en
heal.publicationDate 2011 en
heal.abstract The use of predictive modeling software may markedly contribute to the better understanding of the microbial behavior in foods. In this paper, the development and validation of a tertiary model, which provides predictions of microbial growth in foods under dynamic or static temperature conditions, is presented. In particular, the UGPM (Unified Growth Prediction Model) software applies the Baranyi and Roberts (1994) primary model, coupled to a secondary temperature model, in order to simulate growth of a given microorganism during storage of a specific food or food category. The software, intended to be used by both expert and non-expert users, may be a valuable decision support tool for the food industry, by assisting in the management of foods based on their actual shelf-life and microbial safety, thereby limiting the deterministic ""best-by"" practice for the determination of shelf-life. The latter is commonly based solely on empirical observations and has high uncertainty. This in turn, may result in the rejection of large quantities of unspoiled or safe foods, or even in the distribution of spoiled and unsafe foods, due to ignorance of the effect of temperature abuse on the microbial spoilage and safety of products. © 2011 Elsevier B.V. en
heal.journalName Computers and Electronics in Agriculture en
dc.identifier.issue 1 en
dc.identifier.volume 76 en
dc.identifier.doi 10.1016/j.compag.2011.01.013 en
dc.identifier.spage 119 en
dc.identifier.epage 129 en


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