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Modelling the effect of temperature and water activity on the growth of two ochratoxigenic strains of Aspergillus carbonarius from Greek wine grapes

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dc.contributor.author Tassou, CC en
dc.contributor.author Panagou, EZ en
dc.contributor.author Natskoulis, P en
dc.contributor.author Magan, N en
dc.date.accessioned 2014-06-06T06:47:53Z
dc.date.available 2014-06-06T06:47:53Z
dc.date.issued 2007 en
dc.identifier.issn 13645072 en
dc.identifier.uri http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/j.1365-2672.2007.03480.x en
dc.identifier.uri http://62.217.125.90/xmlui/handle/123456789/3840
dc.subject Aspergillus carbonarius en
dc.subject Fungal growth en
dc.subject Predictive modelling en
dc.subject Temperature en
dc.subject Water activity en
dc.subject Wine grapes en
dc.subject.other ochratoxin en
dc.subject.other data set en
dc.subject.other ecological modeling en
dc.subject.other experimental study en
dc.subject.other fruit en
dc.subject.other fungus en
dc.subject.other growth rate en
dc.subject.other temperature effect en
dc.subject.other accuracy en
dc.subject.other analytical parameters en
dc.subject.other article en
dc.subject.other Aspergillus en
dc.subject.other aspergillus carbonarius en
dc.subject.other colony formation en
dc.subject.other correlation coefficient en
dc.subject.other fungal strain en
dc.subject.other fungus growth en
dc.subject.other grape en
dc.subject.other grape juice en
dc.subject.other Greece en
dc.subject.other hydrodynamics en
dc.subject.other mathematical model en
dc.subject.other nonhuman en
dc.subject.other regression analysis en
dc.subject.other temperature dependence en
dc.subject.other viniculture en
dc.subject.other Aspergillus en
dc.subject.other Colony Count, Microbial en
dc.subject.other Food Microbiology en
dc.subject.other Models, Biological en
dc.subject.other Ochratoxins en
dc.subject.other Temperature en
dc.subject.other Vitis en
dc.subject.other Water en
dc.subject.other Wine en
dc.subject.other Aspergillus carbonarius en
dc.subject.other Vitaceae en
dc.subject.other Vitis vinifera en
dc.title Modelling the effect of temperature and water activity on the growth of two ochratoxigenic strains of Aspergillus carbonarius from Greek wine grapes en
heal.type journalArticle en
heal.identifier.primary 10.1111/j.1365-2672.2007.03480.x en
heal.publicationDate 2007 en
heal.abstract Aims: To develop descriptive models for the combined effect of temperature (10-40°C) and water activity (0.850-0.980) on the growth of two ochratoxin A producing strains of Aspergillus carbonarius from Greek wine grapes on a synthetic grape juice medium. Methods and Results: Fungal growth was measured as changes in colony diameter on a daily basis. The maximum specific colony growth rates (μmax) were determined by fitting the primary model of Baranyi describing the change in colony diameter (mm) with respect to time (days). Secondary models, relating μmax with temperature and aw were developed and comparatively evaluated based on polynomial, Parra, Miles, Davey and Rosso equations. No growth was observed at 0.850 a w (water activity) regardless of temperature, as well as at marginal temperature levels assayed (10 and 40°C) regardless of water activity. The data set was fitted successfully in all models as indicated by the values of regression coefficients and root mean square error. Models with biological interpretable parameters were highly rated compared with the polynomial model, providing realistic cardinal values for temperature and aw. The optimum values for growth were found in the range 0.960-0.970 aw and 34-35°C respectively for both strains. The developed models were validated on independently derived data from the literature and presented reasonably good predictions as inferred by graphical plots and statistical indices (bias and accuracy factors). Conclusions: The effect of temperature and aw on the growth of A. carbonarius strains could be satisfactorily predicted under the current experimental conditions, and the proposed models could serve as a tool for this purpose. Significance and Impact of the Study: The results could be successfully employed as an empirical approach in the development and prediction of risk models of contamination of grapes and grape products by A. carbonarius. © 2007 The Authors. en
heal.journalName Journal of Applied Microbiology en
dc.identifier.issue 6 en
dc.identifier.volume 103 en
dc.identifier.doi 10.1111/j.1365-2672.2007.03480.x en
dc.identifier.spage 2267 en
dc.identifier.epage 2276 en


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