| dc.contributor.author |
Adhikari, M |
en |
| dc.contributor.author |
Paudel, K |
en |
| dc.contributor.author |
Houstan, J |
en |
| dc.contributor.author |
Bukenya, J |
en |
| dc.date.accessioned |
2014-06-06T06:47:21Z |
|
| dc.date.available |
2014-06-06T06:47:21Z |
|
| dc.date.issued |
2007 |
en |
| dc.identifier.issn |
13504851 |
en |
| dc.identifier.uri |
http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/13504850600689907 |
en |
| dc.identifier.uri |
http://62.217.125.90/xmlui/handle/123456789/3542 |
|
| dc.subject.other |
methodology |
en |
| dc.subject.other |
stochasticity |
en |
| dc.subject.other |
time series |
en |
| dc.title |
Dairy supply response under stochastic trend and seasonality |
en |
| heal.type |
journalArticle |
en |
| heal.identifier.primary |
10.1080/13504850600689907 |
en |
| heal.publicationDate |
2007 |
en |
| heal.abstract |
Developing a dairy supply model assuming deterministic trend and seasonality a priori could lead to model misspecification. A structural time series methodology was used to examine the role of stochastic trend and seasonality in a dairy supply response model using quarterly time series data. Four versions of a time-linked model of dairy supply response were compared. A dairy supply model with stochastic seasonality and deterministic trend performed the best, as evidenced by diagnostic tests, goodness-of-fit measures, and forecasting accuracy. Our analysis suggested against the classic approach of incorporating the deterministic seasonality component in dairy supply models. |
en |
| heal.journalName |
Applied Economics Letters |
en |
| dc.identifier.issue |
12 |
en |
| dc.identifier.volume |
14 |
en |
| dc.identifier.doi |
10.1080/13504850600689907 |
en |
| dc.identifier.spage |
887 |
en |
| dc.identifier.epage |
891 |
en |