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A preliminary study of the application of some predictive modeling techniques to assess atmospheric mercury emissions from terrestrial surfaces

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dc.contributor.author Tsiros, IX en
dc.contributor.author Dimopoulos, IF en
dc.date.accessioned 2014-06-06T06:45:41Z
dc.date.available 2014-06-06T06:45:41Z
dc.date.issued 2003 en
dc.identifier.issn 1093-4529 en
dc.identifier.uri http://62.217.125.90/xmlui/handle/123456789/2566
dc.subject airborne mercury en
dc.subject natural emissions en
dc.subject air toxics en
dc.subject simulation modeling en
dc.subject statistical modeling en
dc.subject mercury cycling en
dc.subject.classification Engineering, Environmental en
dc.subject.classification Environmental Sciences en
dc.subject.other ELEMENTAL MERCURY en
dc.subject.other AIR/SURFACE EXCHANGE en
dc.subject.other SOIL en
dc.subject.other RIVER en
dc.subject.other FLUX en
dc.subject.other AIR en
dc.subject.other REGRESSION en
dc.subject.other CATCHMENTS en
dc.subject.other TRANSPORT en
dc.subject.other NETWORKS en
dc.title A preliminary study of the application of some predictive modeling techniques to assess atmospheric mercury emissions from terrestrial surfaces en
heal.type journalArticle en
heal.language English en
heal.publicationDate 2003 en
heal.abstract Predictive modeling techniques are applied to investigate their potential usefulness in providing first order estimates on atmospheric emission flux of gaseous soil mercury and in identifying those parameters most critical in controlling such emissions. Predicted data by simulation and statistical techniques are compared to previously published observational data. Results showed that simulation techniques using air/soil coupling may provide a plausible description of mercury flux trends with a RMSE of 24.4 ng m(-2) h(-1) and a mean absolute error of 10.2 ng m(-2) h(-1) or 11.9%. From the statistical models, two linear models showed the lowest predictive abilities (R-2 = 0.76 and 0.84, respectively) while the Generalized Additive model showed the closest agreement between estimated and observational data (R-2 =0.93). Predicted values from a Neural Network model and the Locally Weighted Smoother model showed also very good agreement to measured values of mercury flux (R-2 = 0.92). A Regression Tree model demonstrated also a satisfactory predictability with a value of R-2 = 0.90. Sensitivities and statistical analyses showed that surface soil mercury concentrations, solar radiation and, to a lesser degree, temperature are important parameters in predicting airborne Hg flux from terrestrial soils. These findings are compatible with results from recent experimental studies. Considering the uncertainties associated with mercury cycling and natural emissions, it is concluded, that predictions based on simple modeling techniques seem quite appropriate at present, they can be useful tools in evaluating the role of terrestrial emission sources as part of mercury modeling in local and regional airsheds. en
heal.publisher MARCEL DEKKER INC en
heal.journalName JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCE AND HEALTH PART A-TOXIC/HAZARDOUS SUBSTANCES & ENVIRONMENTAL ENGINEERING en
dc.identifier.issue 11 en
dc.identifier.volume 38 en
dc.identifier.isi ISI:000185526100003 en
dc.identifier.spage 2495 en
dc.identifier.epage 2508 en


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